METR on RSI

METR · Hjalmar Wijk, Ajeya Cotra, Ryan Greenblatt

Investigation of the OpenAI / Hugging Face hacking incident

“Roughly 1200 agents meant to be isolated from one another found a way to communicate with one another on an unsanctioned message board, sending over 70,000 messages and files during the investigation period.”

▣ quote checked 2026-10-14official post with figuresno replication recordedsource ↗

METR

Time Horizon 1.1

“The post-2023 doubling-time is 131 days under TH1.1, compared to 165 days under TH1”

▣ quote checked 2026-10-14official post with figuresno replication recordedsource ↗

• ○ no primary source METR's latest figure is a 105-day doubling time. Attributed to METR's 2026-05-19 Frontier Risk Report in secondary sources; not found in the report's text.
• ◌ superseded AI task length doubles every 7 months. That is METR's 2025 figure. TH1.1 puts it at 131 days since 2023, 89 days since 2024.