Ben Horowitz · Ben Horowitz · 2026-10-18
All-In Podcast clip: "Zero of those four have been met"
“Zero of those four have been met”
- Who
- Ben Horowitz, Ben Horowitz
- Date
- 2026-10-18 Publish date of the YouTube clip on the All-In Podcast channel.
- Evidence
- Not rated. A spoken statement in a podcast clip, with no measured result behind it. how we rate evidence
- Replication
- None recorded
- Checked
- 2026-10-19, against the source page
- Links
- Source
Also on the page
- He raises "The big risk that everybody talks about": that "the models are going to recursively self-improve", then "take off".
- He credits the four preconditions to Ali Ghodsi of Databricks: the next model "has to require fewer GPUs than the last", has "to take less time to train", its accuracy "has to be better than the last", and "it's got to keep happening again and again".
- He goes on: "We're not on track for any of those four to be met." He calls it "a risk that's entirely theoretical", and the caption runs on: "at this point that we're not mapping".
- The clip opens with his view that "The most dangerous thing going on in AI is Anthropic and Bill Gates".
- The quotes are from YouTube's auto-generated captions, which render Ghodsi's name as "Ali Goatsy from data bicks". The clip ends mid-sentence.