Anthropic · Marina Favaro, Jack Clark · undated
When AI builds itself
“We are not there yet, and recursive self-improvement is not inevitable.”
- Who
- Anthropic, Marina Favaro, Jack Clark
- Date
- Undated. No publication date on the page. Data runs through May 2026; an update is headed 9/18/2026.
- Evidence
- official post with figures what this means
- Replication
- None recorded
- Checked
- 2026-10-14, against the source page
- Links
- Source
Also on the page
- "As of May 2026, more than 80% of the code we merge into Anthropic's codebase was authored by Claude."
- The page gives two framings of an 8x code figure and calls it "almost certainly an overstatement of the true productivity gain."
What got repeated wrong
- no primary sourceJack Clark puts ~30% odds on RSI by end-2027 and 60% by 2028.No primary source found for these numbers.